Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 58.816468 66.914169 75.256950 84.461246 94.298867 104.468096 115.744401
2025-05-11 45.692992 57.086597 69.432558 83.665979 99.491336 116.427077 135.804052
2025-05-18 38.579549 51.781534 66.632066 84.288773 104.444212 126.497200 152.220669
2025-05-25 32.575466 46.846436 63.471456 83.790756 107.518417 133.965356 165.302687
2025-06-01 28.214456 43.283888 61.409009 84.103476 111.120030 141.697079 178.391421
2025-06-08 23.999196 39.410713 58.565229 83.127584 112.912505 147.109233 188.629356
2025-06-15 21.458841 37.403399 57.783410 84.436123 117.238226 155.325777 201.989715
2025-06-22 19.330607 35.711867 57.217117 85.857015 121.579604 163.475271 215.212863
2025-06-29 16.644420 32.960632 55.057726 85.094558 123.115736 168.192895 224.332557
2025-07-06 13.859427 29.755778 52.055422 83.051196 122.905146 170.692113 230.727236
2025-07-13 13.144270 29.592848 53.137456 86.271969 129.240696 181.076014 246.499197
2025-07-20 12.088410 28.782076 53.241015 88.147082 133.843978 189.339339 259.736482
2025-07-27 10.385716 26.763118 51.541500 87.570764 135.327845 193.828299 268.519745
2025-08-03 8.798002 24.738336 49.697078 86.695142 136.355307 197.711913 276.551181
2025-08-10 7.767934 23.561040 49.013732 87.341125 139.303291 203.940294 287.409278
2025-08-17 6.594333 21.949994 47.561563 86.830956 140.675275 208.161045 295.789770
2025-08-24 5.726803 20.802325 46.742187 87.150568 143.098735 213.673445 305.739933
2025-08-31 4.716044 19.183430 45.062791 86.153866 143.705299 216.848837 312.780955
2025-09-07 4.219436 18.599218 45.014531 87.490240 147.427973 223.973063 324.712294
2025-09-14 3.788791 18.095282 45.060632 88.941149 151.294277 231.279914 336.880117
2025-09-21 3.083965 16.777935 43.645552 88.162610 152.079453 234.611389 344.078087
2025-09-28 2.317401 15.071106 41.425054 86.075854 150.994287 235.480181 348.153961
2025-10-05 2.256612 15.345172 42.728679 89.364832 157.364871 246.019044 364.398059